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July 14, 2022
The “Squeeze” Indicator That Points to Obscene Profit Potential

The GME squeeze should’ve been an obvious topping indicator in the market.  It marked the peak of stock market excess… Alongside all the hot biotechs, SPAC runners, and tech stocks that don’t earn anything shooting straight to the upside. Now, the market’s looking a little different.  ARKK is down 70% and the Nasdaq is off […]

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July 13, 2022
Score Cleaner Entries With This “Pinch” Tactic

It’s been tough buying strength in this market.  We’ve seen too many whipsaws, failed breakouts, and rug pulls. This makes perfect sense… because it’s a bear market! You can also have some instances where as soon as you “buy the dip,” you get another dip, then another and another. It sounds like there’s no easy […]

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July 12, 2022
Look For This Key Inflection Point in the Markets

It’s make-or-break time for crude oil. Last month, the Fed’s 75 basis point hike set off a cascade of deleveraging in commodity assets. For example, here’s a chart of copper: The 75 bps hike, combined with Chinese deflationary risk, has caused many hot inflation sectors to run hard to the downside. Oil is still holding […]

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July 11, 2022
Weekly Market Primer: Are the Markets Normalizing?

Let’s ignore the indices for a moment and simply consider “risk.” This year has, in my opinion, been the primary driver behind stock market volatility.  There was money in strategies with a ton of negative convexity against them upon a significant move in rates —  unbeknownst to the investors who followed them. How has that […]

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July 8, 2022
Will the Fed Overshoot With Their Rate Hikes?

Recently, I showed you how we are starting to see stress in the European financial system. Now, I’ll take you further down the rabbit hole to discuss the Fed’s potential risk of overshooting. To illustrate: Have you ever seen someone fishtail on a wet road? If you do it right, you just steer into the […]

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July 7, 2022
The “Smoke” That Signals An Economic Crisis

So far, this market has been pretty “vanilla.”  A couple scary moves, constant liquidations into any pops, and then a grindhouse near the lows. I can view this as a very hard landing after some aggressive spending post-pandemic, and the “tantrum” we’ve seen in equities was an unwind of this excess. It’s painful, but sometimes […]

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July 6, 2022
The Sneaky “Risk-On” Signal I’m Watching

While the broad markets continue to crash and make lower lows, one interesting pocket of the market may be done selling. The S&P is off about 30% from its highs, but tech growth names have all been clobbered…  Think down 70%. The poster child of this tech bubble has been ARK and Cathie Wood.  Her […]

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July 5, 2022
“DAOs” and Our Roadmap: Cutting-Edge Tech… and Same Old Profit

No matter the asset or where it trades, humans will always be behind the wheel.  Messy, panicky humans with brains that can’t tell the difference between losing a couple thousand bucks and a saber-tooth tiger. That means we can have a cutting-edge asset like a Decentralized Autonomous Organization (DAO) that still follows the same dynamics […]

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